Return-Path: Delivered-To: alvarochf@traceseis.com Received: from cs510.bluehost.com by cs510.bluehost.com with LMTP id 4IzLITR552lL+QMAWiBQxw (envelope-from ) for ; Tue, 21 Apr 2026 07:18:44 -0600 Return-path: Envelope-to: alvarochf@traceseis.com Delivery-date: Tue, 21 Apr 2026 07:18:44 -0600 Received: from gt30.mta.exacttarget.com ([13.111.73.30]:34693) by cs510.bluehost.com with esmtps (TLS1.2) tls TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384 (Exim 4.98.2) (envelope-from ) id 1wFB00-000000017Nt-0xNJ for alvarochf@traceseis.com; Tue, 21 Apr 2026 07:18:44 -0600 DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; s=200608; d=jupiterintel.com; h=From:To:Subject:Date:List-Help:MIME-Version:List-Unsubscribe: List-Unsubscribe-Post:Message-ID:Content-Type; i=info@jupiterintel.com; bh=m4NVGZQXy93tb3chI1IpqTLnHBOVObW2StVsRk4b/2g=; b=Z+Gz0tFNNqHhCXMVFqnCDU0fZX6aCxsNOQ1LC1TpQ/g4N+AHypIKYWUMMuzQw0plA2jqJj8Ztwpt ljl1jvJr41hCPpbZk1C39+fzv7vYwcYKqToRSVpz3j06CpIeyyYygEazTV0Jymd5s0p5Jy/3XDus SOBveNT/0L+eKE+t1to= Received: by gt30.mta.exacttarget.com id hstsj82fmd45 for ; Tue, 21 Apr 2026 13:18:33 +0000 (envelope-from ) From: "Jupiter Intelligence" To: Subject: Tipping Points - The flood risk your models are missing Date: Tue, 21 Apr 2026 07:18:32 -0600 List-Help: MIME-Version: 1.0 x-messageKey: 972403-734389611-46339908 X-Delivery: Transactional X-SFMC-Stack: 11 x-job: 514022033_124132 List-Unsubscribe: List-Unsubscribe-Post: List-Unsubscribe=One-Click X-Report-Abuse-To: abuse@pd25.com Message-ID: <915a25c3-0aa3-44c1-a2d0-be3110977bfa@atl1s11mta1064.xt.local> Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="AV6IfvlrxhBh=_?:" X-Spam-Status: No, score=-0.6 X-Spam-Score: -5 X-Spam-Bar: / X-Spam-Flag: NO This is a multi-part message in MIME format. --AV6IfvlrxhBh=_?: Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Download Jupiter's new research: what an AMOC collapse would mean for your East Coast portfolio ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/2026-04-21/8zznt/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U New Research Report Pricing the Tipping Point: The Economic Impact of an AMOC Collapse The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is weakening. Scientists now believe a mid-century collapse is more plausible than previously thought — and the financial consequences are far larger than standard climate projections account for. Jupiter's new research report, Pricing the Tipping Point, is the first to translate a 2050 AMOC collapse scenario into asset-level financial exposure across the entire U.S. East Coast. The findings are striking: flood exposure increases by a factor of 2.8 compared to today — more than double what climate change alone would produce. This is a low-probability, high-consequence risk. And it isn't priced into conventional models. https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/amocreport/8zznx/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U DOWNLOAD THE REPORT https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/amocreport/8zznx/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U Key findings from the report: ▶ A 2050 AMOC collapse increases 100-year coastal flood exposure by a factor of 2.8x compared to today — adding more than $1 billion in exposure across a representative East Coast portfolio. ▶ Flood exposure doubles in both the New York City and Miami metro areas compared to present-day conditions — and a post-collapse Sandy-like hurricane could be catastrophic. ▶ Florida, New Jersey, and South Carolina see the largest absolute increases in exposure — and these states are already the most vulnerable today. ▶ 106 ZIP codes across 12 states transition from minimal flood exposure today to substantial risk — introducing material losses in locations not currently classified as high-risk. ▶ A detailed analysis of implications for financial institutions, real estate investors, REITs, and corporate risk managers — including why conventional catastrophe models miss this risk entirely. "An AMOC collapse more than doubles expected flood exposure — highlighting the potential for large, non-linear increases in economic risk beyond baseline sea level rise projections." — Jupiter Intelligence, Pricing the Tipping Point, April 2026 Stress tests and capital adequacy assessments built on standard hazard models won't capture risks like this. This report shows what it means to stress-test a portfolio against a plausible but underpriced tipping-point scenario — and why the time to build that capability is now. GET THE REPORT — FREE https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/amocreport/8zznx/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U Want to see this analysis on your portfolio? Jupiter can model AMOC collapse scenarios — and any other tail-risk climate event — against your actual assets. Let's talk about what that looks like for your portfolio. BOOK A DEMO https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/request-demo/8zzp1/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U Did someone forward this newsletter and you would like to subscribe directly to the Jupiter Insights Newsletter? Sign up here https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/contact/8zzp4/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U . https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/company-jupiterintel/8zzp7/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U © 2026 Jupiter. All Rights Reserved | Terms and Conditions https://info.jupiterintel.com/e/972403/terms-and-conditions/8zzpb/737773578/h/M7TuDxUm1LCQfCJtiUcfDC89uNjOhPXuOjnggxoPH2U | unsubscribe https://info.jupiterintel.com/unsubscribeConfirm/972403/aa5d42d2930ba505b7217bf7efb13243e9ab59f4c6942f873aabfbd3a9b31939/737773578 --AV6IfvlrxhBh=_?: Content-Type: text/html; charset="utf-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit New Research: Pricing the Tipping Point — The Economic Impact of an AMOC Collapse
Download Jupiter's new research: what an AMOC collapse would mean for your East Coast portfolio  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
Jupiter Intelligence

New Research Report

Pricing the Tipping Point: The Economic Impact of an AMOC Collapse

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is weakening. Scientists now believe a mid-century collapse is more plausible than previously thought — and the financial consequences are far larger than standard climate projections account for.

Jupiter's new research report, Pricing the Tipping Point, is the first to translate a 2050 AMOC collapse scenario into asset-level financial exposure across the entire U.S. East Coast. The findings are striking: flood exposure increases by a factor of 2.8 compared to today — more than double what climate change alone would produce.

This is a low-probability, high-consequence risk. And it isn't priced into conventional models.
Pricing the Tipping Point: The Economic Impact of an AMOC Collapse — Jupiter Intelligence Research Report
DOWNLOAD THE REPORT

Key findings from the report:
▶
 A 2050 AMOC collapse increases 100-year coastal flood exposure by a factor of 2.8x compared to today — adding more than $1 billion in exposure across a representative East Coast portfolio.
▶
 Flood exposure doubles in both the New York City and Miami metro areas compared to present-day conditions — and a post-collapse Sandy-like hurricane could be catastrophic.
▶
 Florida, New Jersey, and South Carolina see the largest absolute increases in exposure — and these states are already the most vulnerable today.
▶
 106 ZIP codes across 12 states transition from minimal flood exposure today to substantial risk — introducing material losses in locations not currently classified as high-risk.
▶
 A detailed analysis of implications for financial institutions, real estate investors, REITs, and corporate risk managers — including why conventional catastrophe models miss this risk entirely.

"An AMOC collapse more than doubles expected flood exposure — highlighting the potential for large, non-linear increases in economic risk beyond baseline sea level rise projections."

— Jupiter Intelligence, Pricing the Tipping Point, April 2026

Stress tests and capital adequacy assessments built on standard hazard models won't capture risks like this. This report shows what it means to stress-test a portfolio against a plausible but underpriced tipping-point scenario — and why the time to build that capability is now.
GET THE REPORT — FREE

Want to see this analysis on your portfolio?

Jupiter can model AMOC collapse scenarios — and any other tail-risk climate event — against your actual assets. Let's talk about what that looks like for your portfolio.

BOOK A DEMO
 
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